THE COLD WAR – ITS MANIFESTATIONS
By
M.L. Sondhi
International Studies1964
Introduction – Origin and Development:
The development of international relations
after the end of the World War II has been marked by a
general deterioration of relations between the USA and the
USSR, their failure to reach agreement on outstanding
international issues and a lack of tolerance on both sides
which contributed towards raising local issues to the level
of world problems which imperil the future of mankind.
The Cold War may be regarded as the outcome of at least
three factors:
a) Natural tendencies in American and Russian
foreign policies after the World War II
b) The influence of allies on the formulation of
US and Russian bloc policies
c) The influence of the mythologies of
Capitalism and Communism
Natural tendencies in American and Russian
Foreign policies after the World War II
These may be indicated briefly in the following manner:
1. The Changing concept of political power:
The end of the War provided both the Soviet and US leaders
with a vision which transcended the scope of traditional
foreign policy making. The facts as known to us now appear
to lend themselves to the following interpretation. Stalin,
who remained mindful of the memory of hostile relations with
the West since the days of the Western Intervention,
permitted himself to explore a new dimension in which the
Soviet Union was no longer simply the preserver of its
“socialist” existence, but could play the role of the
mythological hero who could annihilate the present or future
constellation of hostile forces in his vicinity by a few
simple though terrifying gestures. In the frightened
post-war world Stalin appeared not so much the hero but as
fulfilling the very opposite role of the ogre-tyrant.
President Truman who succeeded Roosevelt seems to have
received an almost identical initiation and saw the role of
his country in terms of an anthropomorphic vision. The
first Atom Bomb not only upset the expected strategic
balance of the post-war world, but provided the evidence of
a revelation which transcended America’s manifest destiny
and became the symbol not of fruitful communication with the
rest of mankind but of America’s universal and final
apotheosis to which the proper response of all was to be one
of adoration.
2. The decline of international organisation:
The agreement in Moscow in 1943 to set up the UNO reflected
an important convergence in major policies of the Soviet
Union and the USA. The Soviet role at the Conference at San
Francisco was, in general consistent with the principles of
international conduct defined essentially in non-radical
terms. The United States conception of the role of the UN
in the Roosevelt era seemed to be founded firmly upon clear
assumptions of political restraints in the interests of
genuine international cooperation. It took some time for it
to become apparent that the willingness to agree upon the
Charter did not provide a control on forces which sought to
accomplish national objectives with self-righteousness as
the sole guide of conduct. The Soviet abuse of the Veto, the
refusal to participate in the social and economic programmes
of the UN and America’s by-passing the UN in the formulation
of the Truman doctrine and the Marshall Plan served to
condemn the UN as a dream child of political visionaries.
3. The emphasis on heterogeneity: The
nature of allied cooperation during the War varied from
country to country. But the total effect of the encounter
with the common enemy was strikingly similar in USSR and the
USA. There was a certain endemic suspicion and mistrust of
each other, but of greater importance was a patient effort
to evolve practices which adhered to a gradual approach
towards a pattern of responsible international behaviour as
befitted the two most advanced nations. The roots of the
schism which rent the short lived unity were found in the
soil of theological subtleties. The theological dispute had
always been there, what was new and remarkable was that this
dispute, instead of remaining the concern of the priesthood
on either side, became now a controversy of alarming
magnitude which vitally affected the behaviour of foreign
policy makers and diplomats. On the American side it was
seriously suggested that the entire force of the
Judaeo-Christian tradition pinpointed the responsibility of
the conflict among mankind upon the sinful nature of man.
This emphasis on the “substantial corruption of man” was a
departure from the hopeful quality of utopian planning which
had declared itself in favour of a good society drawing upon
Soviet and Western experience. The Cold War period
engendered despair which accompanied the obsessive belief
that Communism was the embodiment of all evil.
4. The prophecy of historical conflict:
The effectiveness of Soviet and US propaganda directed to
each other may be difficult to assess. The acceleration of
the trends in the post war world was, however, very markedly
affected by the efforts of the contestants to study
“Marxism” and “Capitalism” to understand the essential
articles of the other’s faith. It was entirely a new
experience that instead of developing moderately effective
programmes based upon the maintenance of vital interests
both sides became fully aware of the teleology of the other
side’s political-religion in which the final clash of the
two sides was ordained as inevitable.
5. National egotism: A major difficulty
in providing the means for an effective dialogue between the
Soviet Union and the USA is that their dissension is largely
the product of unrelenting mystical faiths whose source of
authority is the history of phenomenal achievements of their
respective social and political systems, which do not,
however, necessarily reflect the problems and difficulties
of the rest of the contemporary world.
6. Competition in a shrinking world: The
revolution in technology and the emergence of new states
served to crate new limitations with which US and Russian
policy makers never seem to have come to terms fully. While
Americans could applaud the end of their isolationism, the
Russians could never understand the spectrum of new American
positions overseas. On the other hand Russian moves with
the security of the Soviet Union as a policy objective were
interpreted as aggressive and called forth counter-moves
which were formulated into doctrine as the Theory of
Containment.
7. Ritualistic behaviour: A continuous
worry of both the Super Powers has been to counteract the
pernicious influence from the other side. To avoid
defilement it is considered necessary to undergo
purificatory rites and also to utter incantations and make
the appropriate gestures. On the Russian side special
attention has been paid to perfecting the techniques by
which from time to time to counteract “Capitalist poison”
militant campaigns are launched to impart correct education,
but which to the outsider appeared as smear campaigns
accompanied by extraordinary verbal acrobatics. The wartime
goodwill for the Soviet Union among broad sections of the
population of the Western countries was largely lost on
account of such compulsive behaviour on its part. On the
American side it took some time to develop a habit because
there was resistance to the establishment of a rigid
monopoly of any defined creed, but the environment did not
prove to be immune to the appeal of ritualism. Once
established it has proved durable. A good example of
American ritualism was the invocation of the formula of
military treaty and military aid (pactomania) which was
applied in and out of season.
8. Naivete: The themes of “decadent
West” and “rolling back of communism” and other examples of
a distorted way of looking at contemporary history,
introduced a habit of attributing the most evil intentions
to any move from the other side. The relations were bad
enough but the propagandists on both sides approached their
assignments generally in the pattern of horror story writing
for school children.
THE INFLUENCE OF ALLIES ON THE FORMULATION
OF US AND RUSSIAN BLOC POLICIES
The preceding analysis shows that it is not
necessary to attribute wickedness to either the
Russian or American leaders, because the loss of goodwill
was the result of the development of the controversy from a
combination of reasons. An important reason which worked
against attempts to prevent the widening of the breach lay
in the fact that both Russia and America had assumed the
character-roles of group leaders. The bilateral relations
between USA and USSR were transformed on account of the
difficulty entailed in carrying into practice policies whose
flexibility could enable a bloc-follower to challenge the
bloc-leader for having surrendered to the stubbornness of
the other side and imperilling the discipline and unity of
the bloc. In view of the later career of Yugoslav foreign
policy it may occasion surprise to remind ourselves that
Yugoslavia before the split with the bloc had upheld
positions against those who sought to bring about harmony
between the two sides. It was Yugoslavia as a bloc member
which protested most vehemently against the Czechoslovaks
who had taken up the position that the concept of “peaceful
coexistence” sanctioned their participation in the Marshall
Plan. After leaving the bloc Yugoslavia became a fervent
champion of synthesis of the two opposing points of view.
On the American side the independence of their foreign
policy has been circumscribed at times by allies who could
effectively play upon America’s obsession with Russian
expansionism. The role and importance of Western Germany in
American policy making not only provides Russia with a
propaganda opportunity but shows the internal structure of
the American bloc increasing the proportions of the dispute.
THE INFLUENCE OF THE MYTHOLOGIES
OF CAPITALISM AND COMMUNISM
Mythology can support both the humanist and
the authoritarian elements of religion. The humanist spirit
found its manifestation both in the early beginnings of
American capitalism and in the protest against man’s
alienation from his own powers which pervades the writings
of Marx. In both the American and Russian societies the
ruling elite found the variety of politico-religious
experience, which interprets violent authoritarianism of the
past as relevant for present-day political discourse, highly
attractive for creating a national atmosphere of strength
and confidence. In countries where the traditional
mythology did not mirror an outright conquest of good over
evil the leadership was the mythology dogmatically
interpreted. The clear sighted vision of India’s Prime
Minister on the important issues of East-West conflict is
now generally acknowledged even by those who dislike the
quality of India’s activity in the field of foreign policy.
ANALYSIS OF THE POST-WAR EXPERIENCE:
The encounter of the East and West reveals a
gradual intensification of policies which were initiated as
devices to meet minimum requirements. The interaction of
politics and technological developments visibly affected
techniques employed by the both the super powers.
1. Military alliances: The United States
sought to provide an umbrella of collective security in the
form of a series of alliances located geographically near
the Soviet Union. The defence of Western Europe has been
commonly described as the heart of the political situation
in 1945. The most efficient device in the context of
demobilisation of western armies on the one hand and the
breach of the Yalta Agreement promises by Stalin on the
other, was regarded as one in which the central relation in
the system of defence would give the United States enough
weight without having to declare that its aims were merely
preventive in justification of every move. Churchill’s
Fulton speech and Kennan’s famous Foreign Affairs
article indicated why America and her European allies had
developed an unusual degree of sensitiveness to Soviet
gestures. This theory became henceforth the standard of
accomplishments. The strength and community of purpose of
the NATO persuaded the Americans to develop a unique
world-wide system of military alliances. Unlike Europe, in
Africa and Asia post war history was marked by sudden
upheavals and a conservative point of view favourable to the
status quo was politically untenable except for the very
shortest planning periods. Both SEATO and the BAGHDAD PACT,
the former to encircle China and the latter to close the
containment ring round the Soviet Union created discords and
anxieties in the Asian and North African world and unlike
the NATO were never regarded as being in response to
political opinions compatible with regional patriotisms.
Three principles seem to have governed the
Soviet response to the extension of regional security
arrangements by the USA:he USA:
(a)
The Stalinist policy makers found it easier to stress the
dichotomy between the peace-loving states and the hostile
American-led Capitalist bloc. Even if it is argued that
there were inevitable internal pressures which contributed
to the use of force to uphold a monolithic unity in the
Soviet bloc, it would be difficult to underestimate the help
unwittingly given by American policies to polarisation
around the Soviet Union. In the post-Stalin era, the
creation of the Warsaw Pact was an answer to the inclusion
of West Germany in NATO and contributed towards greater
legal control of the East European countries by the Soviet
Union in the military sphere.
(b)
In answer to its encirclement Russia went on to obtain the H.
Bomb. Simultaneously it became the initiator of a massive
Peace Campaign and seems to have almost hoped for the
ostracism of the USA as an untrustworthy warmongering
nation.
(c)
The post-Stalin Soviet policy especially showed wisdom in
accepting neutrality and wherever there was tension between
the Pact-member-government and the people or where there was
actual civil war, the American-led western position easily
identified with an imperialist attitude thus enabling the
Soviet Union to forge close ties with nationalist forces.
2.
Military Aid, Foreign Bases, Armaments Race:
The plan for encirclement having been taken for granted as a
universally valid political principle, and the rising
tensions between the USA and the USSR having engendered
situations of perpetual mistrust, principal reliance was
placed on military strength. In terms of the new American
foreign policy, the ideal of the American creed as the
embodiment of freedom and social opportunity had to be
reinforced with a world-wide costly military machine knitted
as a single system. In the situation of fear and
insecurity, it was urged that a paramount aspect was the
Russian superiority in conventional weapons which made it
necessary to refrain from negotiations till positions of
strength, interpreted as military strength were reached. By
1955, it was generally acknowledged that a thermonuclear
stalemate had been reached between the two sides, but the
power struggle between the USA and the USSR continued after
the short Geneva break with major emphasis still on arming
themselves and their military-pact allies with newer
weapons. What was the realistic basis for the continued
reliance on the methods of military aid and military bases?
One answer given is that with all the talk on the Russian
side about disarmament they were determined to retain all
their military advantages intact. They saw the dangers of
an atomically armed world but were planning their policy
with a view to discovering military flaws in the
non-Communist countries of the world. This answer does not
seem to be tenable if we interpret Soviet behaviour in the
Middle East as showing their remarkable patience in being
prepared to relinquish opportunities from a purely military
point of view.
3. Propaganda: Whatever hopes there
might have been in other methods used by the two sides, both
believed it to be important to supplement their cold-war
armouries by a network of propaganda organisations. Both
had worked towards tearing down the propaganda edifice built
by Goebbels; no sooner had their task been completed than
they hastened to erect structures which rivalled the abuses
perpetrated by the Nazis in utilising audio-visual
techniques of mass communication. The Russians were the
first in the field with the Cominform in 1947. They found
that many notorious devices used by the Germans could be
utilised more effectively by them with the help of the
various national communist parties. The USA in the initial
stages of the Cold War does not seem to have been aware of
the potentialities of organisational methods in encompassing
nearly all media of mass communications and engendering
almost total indifference to basic principles enshrined in
the American Constitution and the democratic way of life.
We are here faced with the crucial problem in which the
façade of free expression and search for truth can be
retained while the reality is made up largely of
bureaucratised thinking concerned only with tactical
advantages.
3.
Economic Aid: a problem which became increasingly important was
the inability of Europe to utilise its resources in the
condition in which its devastated economy was found after
the end of the wear. Significantly the American economy
could not have continued unimpeded by stagnation or decline
of economic activity in Western Europe. A continuous,
expanding and integrated supply and utilisation of economic
resources was provided by the Marshall Plan. The Soviet
Union’s contracting out of any possible arrangements may be
ascribed to genuine fears of American domination and
capitalist exploitation. Nevertheless there is a good
measure which can be explained in terms of ideological
muddle which succumbed to the ingrained separatism of the
Soviet society. The manner in which the Czechoslovaks were
ordered out of the Marshall Plan conference reveals a
saddening glimpse of the Soviet mind and lack of
statesmanship in not arresting the trend towards antagonism
which had developed in US-Soviet relations after Truman’s
taking over.
Theoretically the world’s most backward areas should
provide the field for the manifestation of advanced ideas of
international assistance. The most advanced countries with
which the USA was politically allied had, however, an
unenviable record of exploitation in relation to the
backward countries. The initiation of any programme of
economic aid was seen by Western policy-makers not in terms
of principles of international economic organisation but
mainly within a framework of resistance to ascendancy of
communism or of “immoral” neutralism. Such a view was
ridden with latent danger and as is now generally accepted,
an unnecessary intrusion of a political issue into an
essentially economic sphere and a major error of American
policy making.
4.
Trade embargos: Restrictive policies in the cold war context
represented essentially a political conception based on the
objective of “rolling back” Communism. It is an open
question whether the result of the various embargos was the
undermining of the communist regimes in Eastern Europe or
actually resulted in strengthening the industrial capacity
of the Russian bloc. In evolving a strategy of economic
blockade the major difficulty is the unwillingness of the
Afro-Asian countries to ignore the advantages of competitive
source of supply from the Soviet bloc and new outlets for
their own products. Moreover economic growth on both sides
created unexpected demands which “organisation men” of
either side wished to satisfy from the most advantageous
source of supply irrespective of the political tensions and
thus acted as a pressure to outgrow the restrictions of the
phase initiated in the early days of the Cold War.
5.
Regional Integration:
6.
a) Common Market: In an era in which the
possibilities of rapid economic advance through
technological developments are phenomenal, the implications
for a constructive and hopeful international economic
organisation would have been international integration on a
world-wide scale to channelise aid to industrially retarded
countries. Such an aim was unrealistic where the end of
political action was only to wage a relentless struggle to
undermine the other side.
The Common Market, as its critics say,
was not related in its fundamental character to the real
need of contribution to the international economic
landscape. It’s trend will therefore be to accentuate the
differences between the advanced and the backward parts
although there may be isolated examples of rapid economic
development. In the short run, the manner in which France
and West Germany have worked their economic and defence
policies does not provide them with sufficient incentives to
take steps to reduce political tensions. The Russians are
not likely to forget that both France and Germany were the
chief opponents of summit meetings and against compromise
with Russia. The greater accession of strength to both of
them explains the concern in the Soviet bloc with the
momentum of the political and economic integration in
Western Europe.
(b)
Council for Mutual Economic Assistance:
The strategy of the cold war induces and accelerates
tendencies in one bloc in imitation of the other side. The
stress on economic integration in the Stalin era was to a
great extent from the standpoint of benefit to the Soviet
Union. The reactivisation of the Council for Mutual
Economic Aid in recent years has revealed serious
difficulties in bringing about multilateral cooperation even
when the economies in question are planned economies. The
troubles which exist are partly the legacies of the Stalin
era in which serious disproportions were created due to the
dogmatic application of Soviet economic experience in the
bloc countries. The integration is now based more on
principles of economic persuasion rather than outright
compulsion. Soviet credits now flow to the bloc members and
with increasing productivity in the bloc countries it is
likely that in the future rational economic thinking on the
CEMA side may achieve successes which may enhance the
availability of consumer goods in the area. This in turn
may promote tendencies aimed at developing links with the
other side in order to fulfil rising expectations of
consumers in a more diversified manner. On the other hand
tensions may arise if the Russian bloc with its accumulated
technical advances, now utilised more rationally, decides on
employing devices of economic warfare against the West.
Paradoxically in the “Capitalist” West,
the future of cold war polities may largely depend on the
economic determinants, whereas on the Russian side
irrespective of the Marxian ideology the problem of cold war
politics seems to be essentially outside the boundaries of
economics.
THE NEW AFRO-ASIAN STATES
Certain general characteristics are
ascribed to the policies of most of the new states in
their efforts to control their own destinies in a world in
which they had hardly recovered their human dignity and self
respect when they were confronted with the necessity of
understanding the arbitrary acts of the two super powers
which changed fundamentally the old conception of the
International community:
1.
The struggle between the two sides is viewed by these states
as being essentially one of moves on a chess-board rather
than a struggle between two systems of social organisation
dedicated primarily to moral and ideological
considerations.
2.
The memory of colonial rule ensures that these states seek
protection against the yoke of policies like racial
discrimination which are the legacy of an imperialist era
and seek initiative to pursue the policy of anti-colonialism
with vigour and fortitude.
3.
These states have sought to extend the scope of activity by
the United Nations. They have helped to evolve new ideas by
which international action has been taken to help maintain
world peace and to promote economic and technical assistance
and scientific and cultural cooperation.
4.
The new members of the international community have urged the
importance and utility of the methods of negotiation in
settling international issues.
5.
Many of the new states have sought to avoid military
alliances which they believe do not enhance but reduce real
security.
6.
They have welcomed economic and cultural cooperation with
both USA and USSR. An important assumption they have made
is that neither of these powers has the objective of world
conquest. Although the USA and USSR have in their polemical
exchanges accused each other of being Hitler’s heir, the new
Afro-Asian states believe that even at their worst both of
these powers are fundamentally different from the model of
Nazi Germany.
7.
While these states would like to conduct their diplomacy to
win and retain the goodwill of both USA and USSR they have
reacted sharply whenever any methods have been adopted to
convert them to either bloc and reduce the possibilities of
independent development. They resist the idea that they are
merely the stage for the enactment of the foreign policy of
either Russia or the USA.
EFFECTS OF THE CONTEST
Aims of the Super Powers: Achievements of the Super
Powers
Much of the writing on US-USSR
relations in the early days of the Cold War was in terms of
abstract generalisations and the role of ideology was
dominant. The appraisal of the East-West contest in current
literature is based on a much more complete study of the
complex inter-relationships which make up the facts of
present-day politics. The situation is sufficiently
frightening but it seems to be recognised increasingly on
both sides that it, is hardly legitimate to use standard
types of generalisation.
The study of concrete cases helps to
point out that the much-criticised policies were often the
result of unintended effects of actions of those who thought
their sources of information were infallible.
KOREA: Political thinking on both sides seems to have been
distorted and confused. Great care is needed to sort out
the facts and even then it is difficult to discover any
simple outlines of political behaviour. It is difficult to
solve the puzzle as to which side can be said to have
achieved its aim. The points we can afford to make are that
the Korean war was a turning point in American policy in
Asia which in the post Korean period tended to abridge the
content of “freedom and democracy” in policy formulation and
extend the application of the rule of thumb of
“anti-Communism.” It had the effect of making the Chinese
more xenophobiac.
INDO-CHINA:
The point here is simply that in the unsettled aftermath of
Japanese surrender, extraneous reasons were used to justify
an attempted return of colonialism. We can spell out a
complicated account of moves and countermoves with
conclusions which do not educate us on the merits of the
rival policies as far as the vital interests of the Super
powers are concerned. A question may be asked in appraising
the Laos question as it exists today, whether both Super
powers can afford to sit back and relax their efforts. The
USA’s attitude towards Souvanna Phouma seems to have been
encouraged by myth rather than perception of reality. Again
the appraisal must weigh the evidence of the Chinese-Russian
split.
BERLIN: There is a strong tendency in the West to relapse
into the habit of explaining every chess problem as being a
repetition of the earlier one if there is the faintest
resemblance, in some respect. It is a mistake to suppose
that foreign policy objectives change as a result of the
activities of a particular statesman. Nevertheless
intelligent and well informed study may reveal that it is
necessary to discard an earlier political scepticism. A
convincing argument has been put forward which assesses
Khruschev’s objective as being that of securing a halt to
West German rearmament and recognition of East Germany and
rejecting evidence of aggressive expansionism on his part.
The revision of the existing situation is complicated enough
but the search for a solution can be rendered easier if it
is realised that it is unprofitable to hold the past
performance of the other side against it.
CUBA: An effort to fit the facts to the theory of “Russian world
conquest” comes up against the difficulty that Russian help
has not been one of a commitment to preserve the revolution
at any cost. The trends lend themselves more easily to an
interpretation not far from “Nasser’s Egypt” and “Kassem’s
Iraq” where also the dreadful role of international
communism was over-portrayed. It is, however, necessary to
pursue an inquiry whether Russia is for security reasons
genuinely interested in having a base on the American
continent.
CONGO: This is a startling instance of the dangers of using
ideological clichés. The behaviour of all the dramatis
personae: Lumumba, Kasavubu, the Belgians, Tshombe, the
British, Roy Welensky, Gizenga, the Russians, the Czechs and
Dag Hammarskjold, cannot be analysed in terms of either
“Leninist-Stalinist” strategy or in terms of “Containment.”
Neither the USA nor the USSR has been able to play its
favourite role, the former of the Crusader against Communism
and the latter of the anti-Colonialist fighter. There is no
easy way out. The view formulated by Hammarskjold of the
role of the UN as being the upholder of the rights of the
new states and deriving its strength mainly from them is
very persuasive. Fortunately the rather despairing
experience has been followed by attempts which have achieved
a fair measure of success and provided lessons of
experience. It seems fair to suggest that both Russia and
USA sustained diplomatic defeats in the Congo which may have
provided them with important educational experience,
although in the process much human suffering was caused and
the world organisation nearly came to an end.
STAGES FOR ENDING THE COLD WAR
What is the result of the policies
pursued by the two sides? The process of development and
change in the post war world has been so rapid that false
impressions about aims and methods have led both sides to
self-deception as well as self-righteousness.
The experience of the encounter has
provided an insight into the symmetry of fears. Both USA
and USSR are fearful of sudden changes. The two super
powers seem to be moving towards the diagnosis that short of
a miracle neither of them can dominate the whole world and
the highest miracle can now be achieved not by exporting
their own personality masks to other countries but by
providing examples of appropriate social, political and
economic relationships.
The following measures have been
advocated by those who have been concerned to urge the
easing to tensions as the only way of safeguarding man’s
right to live in the world:
1.
Universality of UN Membership:
Those who take the view that at present Russian
aggressiveness is largely the response to Chinese postures
arrive at the conclusion that the admission of China to the
United Nations would end her isolation and enable the
Russians to surmount the tactical considerations which
compel them to use Cold War methods. One cannot of course
suggest that decisions which might have assuaged Chinese
aggressiveness if taken several years ago will if taken
now lead to a changed foreign policy, which would reject
the thesis of inevitability of war.
2.
The German problem:
The widespread concern in Russia and Eastern Europe about a
reunified Germany need not be explained away as sheer
propaganda. The results of any moves towards German
reunification without any hope of its having a neutralised
status like Austria would arouse the worst fears and
suspicions of Russia and the other Slav East European
countries. The process of German Rearmament is being given
great attention by the Communist governments who choose to
regard West Germany as a country which is preparing to
disturb the status quo with American connivance.
3.
Disarmament: Whenever the nations have talked about disarmament
they have found that they have missed the main subject and
got tied up in acrimonious debate. The urgency of the
present concern with the subject is mainly on account of the
impact of Nuclear weapons on mankind’s imagination. The
fear that the diffusion of nuclear weapons is inevitable if
nothing is done about control has created opportunities for
political action which would have been unthinkable in a
world where national sovereignty is still the supreme
political fact. The resumption of negotiations is an
encouraging factor since the discontinuance of the arms race
is not only necessary from the economic point of view but
because of the admitted fact that the words invulnerable
deterrent do not hide the impending suicide of mankind
from war by accident or miscalculation. The American and
Russian position can roughly at present be identified with
Arms Control and Complete Disarmament
respectively, the former insisting on control and inspection
and the latter protesting against the suspected motive of
espionage. It is difficult to summarise the literature
dealing with the different possibilities of limitations of
armaments, precautions against thermonuclear war,
discontinuance of nuclear test explosions, creation of zones
of limited armaments, and the general case for universal
controlled disarmament. The issue of disarmament so far as
it affects the familiar Cold War activity may perhaps be
formulated as requiring a judgement as to whether the
present balance of terror is a stable position, or whether a
negotiated agreement equating retaliatory forces but
retaining the “invulnerable” deterrent can provide a better
opportunity for taking steps to reduce tensions. The third
choice whose persuasiveness is being increasingly recognised
is the aim of balanced, controlled but complete disarmament
which is claimed to be realistic although the difficulties
are formidable. Its advocates urge that the working out of
the international system with the participation of the Super
powers as well as the non-aligned powers would strengthen
“responsible behaviour” in world politics and isolate
“adventurist” elements in both the power blocs and in the
world as a whole.
4.
A new Diplomacy: It is by no means obvious that the Foreign offices
in Moscow and Washington are not aware of arguments about
the tragic quality of a world in which nuclear annihilation
is an ever present possibility and in which the two
strongest powers constantly inveigh against each other.
Excellent practical advice has been given to both of them by
the so-called neutrals. When advice is in the form of
abstract principles it only excites the holy zeal of the
super powers. Of a different category has been the
influence of contacts between statesmen initiated by the
Indian Prime Minister. There is no need to assume, however,
that the execution of foreign policy at all levels in the
case of a country like India has been aware of the
advantages and disadvantages of a “new diplomacy.” It is
necessary to pursue this matter further and examine whether
more profit could not have been obtained if devices like
Summit meetings, Disarmament conferences, Peace Conferences,
and Heads of Government meetings had been approached with
the mentality of a genuine search for solutions rather than
with a “holier or wiser than thou” attitude which has
characterised not only the Super powers but also the
non-aligned powers. The age of miraculous cures is over. |