VP & Foreign Policy
By
M.L.Sondhi
The Hindustan Times, February 8, 1990
There is a valuable lesson in the experience of Jawaharlal
Nehru at the time of the Hungarian developments in 1956.
Krishna Menon’s evaluations were intellectually and
emotionally pro-Soviet to the extent that he could not make
a realistic judgment on the revolutionary events in
Budapest. It was common knowledge in the South Block that
Nehru was not happy with some of the formulations used by
Menon to explain away the Soviet intervention. There was
always a certain tactical caution which Nehru exercised in
maintaining the right-left balance inside his government,
and Nehru always felt that Menon was ideologically closer to
him than the others. Without directly opposing Krishna
Menon on Hungary, Nehru introduced an alternative perception
in India’s public diplomacy by hailing the Budapest uprising
as a popular revolution in his speech to the UNESCO meet in
New Delhi. A further realistic note was introduced in
Indian thinking by the report on the Hungarian developments
submitted by Nehru’s personal representative, Dr. Jagannath
Khosla, who was sent to Budapest from Prague and by Nehru’s
reference on the floor of Parliament to the high quality
performance of the relatively junior diplomat M.A. Rahman.
Practical basis:
The above pattern indicates that even when the specific
conduct of foreign policy is left to a minister in an issue
area, the Prime Minister has from time to time necessarily
to inject an overall conception against which policy
decisions are judged. It needs to be reiterated that while
ministers should be left to their own resources and the
Prime Minister should not personalise political affairs, yet
it is critically important in the sphere of foreign policy
that the Prime Minister himself provides theoretical
coherence to the country’s external affairs on both a
political and practical basis.
The V.P. Singh government must be able to do
three things simultaneously if India is to achieve effective
control over the effects of rapid change in the
international and regional environment: (1) remove
ideological stereotypes which coloured perceptions during
the four decades in which bloc-confrontation greatly
exacerbated international conflicts; (2) supply a conceptual
alternative to the fundamentalisms which may create vicious
and destabilising circles threatening India’s open and
democratic society; and (3) sustain a role of peace-building
by favouring peaceful settlement of differences in areas
which can feed India’s own anxieties and discords.
Many objectives:
The attainability of these aims is not dependent solely on
the mechanics of the foreign policy process within the
Ministry of External Affairs. The Foreign Minister and the
bureaucracy he heads can of course pursue the interests of
national security and political strategy once the political
axioms are laid down by the Prime Minister. But when a
watershed has been reached in world politics as is the case
today a vigorous and communicative role by the Prime
Minister in the area of external affairs is unavoidable.
The de-ideologisation of foreign policy in the Soviet Union
by Gorbachev has important consequences for India where the
Soviet model had become a byword for infallibility. It is
necessary for Mr. V.P. Singh as the new leader to ensure
that ideological solutions to political dilemmas are
replaced by pragmatic perspectives which are less subject to
irrational and dogmatic conclusions.
International Terrorism
The Indian polity needs a serious response
to the danger which arises out of the enormous military,
political and diplomatic power which fundamentalism can
mobilise against an open and democratic society like ours.
The warning signals of international terrorism aided and
abetted by fundamentalism must be heeded. The Prime
Minister can illuminate India’s conceptual alternative to
fundamentalism by making important foreign policy
pronouncements which affirm India’s commitment to pluralism
and freedom without any apology or reservation.
Even with the most skilful diplomacy the
Ministry of External Affairs will tend to favour the status
quo in regions like the Middle East. We need only recall
how during Morarji Desai’s Prime Ministership, the Foreign
Office opposed the Camp David peace process and India
shifted away from its traditional closeness to Egypt. The
major thrust of South Block’s argument was that this course
of action was necessary in order to eradicate any ambiguity
about our support to the Arab cause. Yet today we can see
that the benefits derived from our stand against the
US–Egyptian strategy were outweighed by the drawbacks of an
approach which was not based on a realistic assessment of
the sub-regional interaction patterns in the Middle East.
It should not require a great leap of imagination to grasp
that today the need to revive the peace process between the
Arabs and the Israelis presents an opportunity to an Indian
Prime Minister to enhance his image (along with that of his
country) as a peace-maker. By refusing to have diplomatic
relations with Israel at the Ambassadorial level, South
Block is depriving itself of an effective tool of peace
diplomacy. India’s one-sided involvement in the
conflict-ridden Arab-Israel relationship has led to a
general consensus that New Delhi either by design or default
pursues appeasement. Consequently Pakistan can build up
anti-Indian pressures and crusades by playing upon the
idiosyncrasies that have prevented the Islamic countries
from building a peace order. Indian foreign office
officials tell us that there is no need to give up
time-tested policies and refuse to reflect deeply on the new
opportunities which the Middle East presents to India.
Peace process:
The Soviet Union and East European countries have shown
their willingness to give greater impetus to the peace
process by resuming political and economic relations with
Israel. South Block, however, continues to refuse any
serious dealings either with the Israeli consulate in Bombay
or through exchange of special envoys directly with Israel.
The recent impasse in Indian-Iranian
relations has implications for New Delhi beyond the
immediate political context. The most certain way to
encourage Middle Eastern powers to gang up against India
would be for New Delhi to allow them to treat us with
condescension while our support to them is taken for
granted. Mr. V.P. Singh can begin to signal a change in the
Indian attitude by declaring his intention to engage in a
wide-ranging dialogue for peace between Arabs and Israelis.
He can begin by affirming India’s support for the just and
legitimate rights for Palestinian Arabs and emphasise the
special importance for India of the favourable development
of relations among all the states in the Middle East
including Israel. Although South Block fears a groundswell
of Arab protest if New Delhi upgrades its diplomatic
relations with Israel, the implementation of this step would
provide an enduring and increasing sense of stability in
India’s relationship with the region.
Indian wisdom:
A judicious balancing of commitments in the Middle East will
provide significant incentives to many of the regional
states to regard Indian motives and the wisdom of Indian
policies in Kashmir and elsewhere with respect. The South
Block die-hard will of course argue that the time is not
propitious for New Delhi to seek a major readjustment of
Indian policy since the new Government has yet to get
settled. Mr. V.P. Singh should be sceptical about such
advice since the breathing period recommended to him can
only constrict his opportunities later on. By devoting
himself earnestly to the resolution of regional conflicts in
the Middle East (or in Southeast Asia), Mr. V.P. Singh can
take himself a long way to projecting India as a stabilising
force along the arc of crisis. He would also have laid the
ground-work for a new and balanced relationship with the
United States and the Soviet Union. At the same time he
would have deterred Pakistani and Iranian expansionary
designs with the minimum of cost.
To sum up, having established a general
orientation for his ministers to look after their portfolios
with a certain measure of independence which is basic to the
Cabinet system of government, Mr. V.P. Singh would be well
advised to lay the foundation for the substantive
development of India’s international relations in an era of
rapid change which promises tangible benefits to India if we
can give up approaches and strategies which are now
outdated. |