From Non-alignment to Non-appeasement:
A Reconstruction of Indian foreign Policy
By
Vishnugupta (M.L.Sondhi)
Shakti, June 1965
A study of India’s foreign relations since 1962 raises four
fundamental questions, which can aptly be described as the
dilemmas of Indian non-alignment. Whether the international
situation facing India will result in undermining the very
basis of our survival as a united and independent state – a
fear which has been expressed by some competent students of
international relations – or whether the changing
distribution of power in the world will enable India to
fulfil her political purpose of strengthening peace and
freedom and providing full possibilities for inter-cultural
intercourse – all these purposes are implicit in the Indian
awakening understood as an historic process – will depend
largely upon our ability to find answers to the following
questions:-
1. What should be the framework for understanding the
psychological motivation of the decision-makers of countries
likely to be hostile to us?
Non-alignment in practice means that we are now in the habit
of interpreting the decision-making of others by first of
all determining the nature of their alignment system. Of
course this is a kind of determinism of which a parallel
example would be where a foreign office would judge the
policy of another country by first finding out how the means
of production were owned in that country. In foreign policy
the USSR has avoided economic determinism, although it forms
the very basis of the Marxian approach to politics. A
determinist approach, by itself, is not objectionable and
such a foreign policy could be successful during certain
periods. If we agree that since 1962 there are indications
which point conclusively to the fact that following upon the
nuclear stalemate between USA and USSR and their
confrontation over Cuba, there has been a qualitative change
in international relations of which one of the chief
characteristics is the substitution of a multi-polar outlook
among decision-makers in place of the post-war bi-polar
outlook, then the dilemma can be expressed in the following
words: Should Indian Foreign ministers continue to disregard
the psychological criteria which have been found to have
great merit in historical periods when an international
system has multipolarity, and this on the basis that the
post-war bipolar situation has resulted in making the
integration of world politics in two centres, the USA and
USSR, the fundamental strategically decisive fact, and also
that psychological criteria must always have a secondary and
subordinate role in India’s foreign relations. No similar
endeavour at an unqualified determinism in foreign policy is
known to have succeeded so far from the available historical
record. It is also clear that a democratic basis for such a
policy will be increasingly difficult. It is one thing to
bring daily encomiums and quite another matter to have
non-alignment as one’s standard and suffer humiliation and
loss of territory. In a period of loss of national
influence and power, a totalitarian regime or a military
government can more easily adhere to a non-alignment policy.
A democratic regime has to maintain a certain ratio between
adherence to a favourite policy and the result of that
policy as indicated by reinforcement of power, security and
prestige.
2. What is the precise contribution made by the friendship
cultivated with the two superpowers (in the bi-polar
context), to security needs in a context where multi-polar
trends are decisive enough to permit struggle for power to
take place in the international arena irrespective of the
wishes of the two superpowers?
The second dilemma, therefore, is: Should India continue to
rely on the USA and USSR as the two international policemen
when there is growing evidence that there are daily unlawful
acts committed against India of which the two policemen do
not take cognisance on the ground that these happenings are
really not serious enough. A bi-polar world permits a
country like India not to be unduly concerned about the
effects of any and every violation of the international
order, except if it relates to the two superpowers directly
or indirectly. In a multipolar world political activity of
a militarily vulnerable state must take cognizance of every
single move, hostile or friendly, for the simple reason that
technological problems – using the world in the broadest
sense – are so immensely complicated, taking their course
independently of the two most powerful states, that a norm
of behaviour like non-alignment does not correspond to the
objective requirements of the two superpowers to the extent
of encouraging them to react to every arbitrary act by
independent actors on the international scene. The
superpowers act rationally from the point of view of their
interests by not acting at all in many situations which
however appear to possess the most crucial aspects for
decision-makers of third states. The importance of
understanding the role of the USA and USSR as international
policemen in the multipolar era can hardly be exaggerated
and yet it requires great perceptiveness to arrive at a
correct estimation which is neither pessimistic nor
over-optimistic. The Indian foreign office has not provided
any evidence that it has the capacity to analyse the
feedback received from its international environment.
Moreover a policy of non-alignment does not help in
developing an outlook of precise calculation of the
ingredients in decision making. The trend of non-alignment
in India has been more of a search for organising common
values – witness the efforts spent in defining the Panch
Sila – and the collection of evidence on national security
operations has proceeded at best in a fitful manner.
3. What should be the relations between diplomacy and the
military viewpoint so that a situation does not come into
existence which gives free rein to military doctrines, which
links a whole nation to consider itself to be uniquely
situated, favourably or unfavourably, and consequently to
regard the existence or non-existence of weapons of war to
be the chief determinant of the nation’s political strategy? Now it is clear that Indian non-alignment is closely
related to the search for methods which can bring about a
climate of peace and the general aims of foreign policy it
serves are not militaristic in nature. How does it then
come about that the third dilemma is actually the product of
an exaggeration of the military factor. Clausewitz gives us
a valuable hint when he says: “It is an impermissible and
even harmful distinction, according to which a great
military event or the plan for such an event should admit a
purely military judgement; indeed, it is an unreasonable
procedure to consult professional soldiers on the plan of
war, that they may give a purely military opinion…” It is
suggested, therefore, that our third dilemma has arisen not
out of an unreasonable procedure to obtain a purely military
opinion on the plan of war, because in the case of Indian
nonalignment a general plan of war was ruled out ex
definition, but on account of the equally glaring fact that
an unreasonable procedure was in fact adopted to obtain a
purely military opinion o our plan of world peace. The
third dilemma can, therefore, be worded as follows:
considerations based upon military expediency alone will
stultify our diplomatic effort because military judgements
divorced from other factors e.g. economic psychological,
ideological, legal, etc. – will emphasise the most bizarre
features of any power confrontation. Since India’s leaders
are by their training and outlook peace-makers, such
military advice which would lead t adventurist aggression in
the case of militant leaderships elsewhere may here well
lead often to panic concession-making. Non-alignment which
aims to fight the predominance of militarism in
international affairs ends up by exaggerating the role of
the military factor in formulating policies, especially in
their long term effects.
4. What should be the relationship between non-alignment and
the formulation of a global policy in the context of the use
of international organisations for strengthening them
constitutionally and politically?
Indian non-alignment started off very well with its devotion
to the UN Charter, and took a leading role in settling some
disputes. But it is important to recall that these disputes
were chiefly those which encouraged peaceful change to the
extent it developed a consensus between the two superpowers
and interpreted international organisation in a manner which
provided legal principles which did not undermine the
authority of the two superpowers. In a bi-polar world the
two superpowers are grateful for the role played by an
important third country which voluntarily accepts the fact
of power-inferiority and raises it to a standpoint o high
principle. Knowing that bi-polar world is a rare phenomenon
and at a best very transitory the two superpowers are
interested in legitimising it, for lengthening its life, if
not perpetuating it. The formative years of an
international organisation allow greater scope to
integrating factors and the fundamental problem of
international politics is to place surface tensions in a
perspective which shows them to be manageable in the light
of the considerations which helped the setting up of the
original covenant. The role of conciliator played by India
was achieved through the acceptance of the bi-polar
framework. The position today is different in at least
three respects. (a) The Charter is not considered to be a
summation of legal aspects of an international order which
charter of political aspirations. (b) The conception of
conciliation has radically changed. The technological and
psychological factors are too numerous to be listed here.
They are evident in the study of the tension points of
today’s world. (c) In a bipolar world the conciliator’s
sacrifices are gratefully remembered. In a multipolar world
the impact of violence on the minds of most international
actors is reduced in a way that an action which under
bipolarity would have been a test of the capacity to meet a
challenge to international law and order, is now seen
primarily in terms of the political configuration which is
expected to develop in the future. The last dilemma may be
described in this way: Non-alignment has institutionalised
Indian foreign policy into a defence of the Charter as it
is, fixed and eternal, and does not seem to provide us with
moral incentives to participate in any international
pressure group which could promote another more up-to-date
set of abstract principles of international organisation.
Non-alignment does not give India’s foreign minister any
ideas on Charter Revision. On-alignment makes the Charter
an organic creation whereas the characteristics of
international diplomacy require us to consider it as a
mechanical device which helps to develop the political
imagination of today’s nation states but cannot operate in
the same way indefinitely. Although some people refer to
non-alignment as an ideology, yet it is clear that on the
basic question of the evolution of national power and the
problem of devising new procedures for international
organisation, non-alignment does not provide a dynamic use
of ideology in foreign relations. The support which
non-alignment gives to international-community making is
really too eclectic to be powerfully effective.
Non-alignment pays lip service to international goals but it
is really a programme of accepting the modalities of what it
is now fashionable to cal as a “subordinate political
system.” The making of foreign policy by an Indian
government which takes its international goals as seriously
as does de Gualle or Mao Tse-Tung would involve at the very
least a philosophical enquiry into a programme for
minimising international conflicts through reform of the
Charter. Non-alignment is fearful of all forms of
messianism induding the one that would usher in a
one-world. Non-alignment starts by opposing the division of
the world into two hostile blocs, but it goes on to sanction
the existing state of affairs by pointing out the dangers
inherent in every scheme of structural adjustment. All new
schemes carry the danger that the division of the world
might be exacerbated, but these dangers are not offset
against the gains that may equally accrue from new devices.
Non-alignment favours conservatism in international
planning.
What has been the effect of ignoring the psychological
criteria on the pattern of India’s relations with certain
important countries? Two countries need to be considered in
order to realise that non-alignment has proved a great
obstacle towards utilising our opportunities:
China:
We had assumed that China would continue to take an attitude
in keeping with the Panch Sila. Even after our rude
awakening, the hold of non-alignment undermined any serious
attempt to combat Chinese communism in its psychological
processes. Indian officials in the aftermath of the Chinese
1962 attack continued to say that Chinese xenophobia was the
result of her political isolation in being debarred from
entry into the UN and that it had been India’s ill-luck to
serve as the target, China according to them had no need to
have a military alliance with Russia but for the
unreasonable hostility of the USA. No Indian official or
non-official has to date provided us with a study of Chinese
policy-makers to show how exactly the Chinese Communists
have modified the ideology they have inherited from Europe.
India’s case shows that non-alignment prevents a country
from developing political sophistication by which it can
take account of potential enemies. Recognising that someone
is a potential enemy does not solve the problem but it does
ensure that what is humanly possible will be done in time.
Policy measures undertaken after careful study of the sort
of decision making taking place on the side of the potential
enemy may well lead to reciprocal adjustments which can
arrive at settlements, tacit or overt, short of the stage
when the prestige of both sides is so fully involved as to
inhibit a settlement.
Pakistan:
The Pakistani leadership has been conditioned by negotiating
methods in which powers like SA and USSR each in its own
style have indulged in a considerable amount of political
blackmail against that country. China also has now built up
a position of a political and military advantage with
Pakistan. The strategic implication for India is quite
clear as far as our methods of negotiation with Pakistan are
concerned. Any serious arrangement with Pakistan will
require fundamental decisions by all these three great
powers. Therefore in our negotiations with Pakistan we
should deliberately have played up the “political factors”
in every issue, and bargains or package deals could have
been achieved by intense diplomatic effort in Washington,
Moscow and Peking. Instead we have ignored the “satellite”
psychology of Pakistani leaders and permitted the
negotiations with Pakistan to be guided by “technical
discussions”. The Kutch war, when full records are
available may, well be found to be the cumulative fruit of
the “technical discussions” known as the Swaran Singh-Bhutto
round of talks. It will be recalled that the Indian side
continued with these talils ignoring the mounting evidence
that as the talks went on Pakistan’s political
aggressiveness was rising. Although the theory of
non-alignment gives a warning that military alliances result
in political disequilibrium between the fellow members of a
pact, yet the military disequilibrium has not been
understood in the theory for its perhaps more far reaching
effects. Thus in the case of Pakistan, it did not occur to
us to examine the incompatibility of American and Pakistani
interests vis-à-vis India. The theory of non-alignment led
us to overlook both the fact of American blackmail against
Pakistan and Pakistan’s bad faith against the USA, which
converted Pak-US military agreement into a “diplomatic act
against nature.” India could have made, if she wished,
enormous political gains if we had correctly assessed the
conflict in Pakistani American interests. Instead Indian
adherence to non-alignment permitted Pakistan to make gains
against both Indian and the United States positions. The
absence of reliable knowledge about the psychology of the
Pakistani ruling circles led the government of India to
countenance the activities of the so-called Indo-Pakistan
conciliation group, which since no counterpart is known to
exist in Pakistan regular lobby would have done, and helped
to reinforce power aspirations in Pakistan, which hitherto
had existed inchoately, into diplomatic and political
operations against India. Ideas of regionalism as a way out
for Indo-Pak difficulties are a naïve application of the
European experience and will bar a forward diplomacy in
which India could explain directly to the policy makers in
Washington or in Moscow the dangers of seeking short-term
solutions based upon concessions at Indians expense.
Any serious effort to check the present drift to our
involvement in crises and tension at times and places chosen
freely by China and Pakistan, requires that the full
implications of the external threats to our national
security must be spelt out fully. It is in our national
interest to have the USA and the USSR committed to our
independence and territorial integrity. But this question
has not been discussed at all by the Indian government.
Non-alignment is an incentive to neglect this question when
it comes to the level of operations of foreign policy.
Neither the Russians nor the Americans can help us to avoid
small-scale or medium scale attacks. We will be asked not
to escalate the conflict in the short run period. In the
long run we have ourselves no desire to escalate the
conflict, for we look forward to a long run solution to all
our difficulties through peaceful adjustment. The Chinese
and the Pakistanis do not hesitate to escalate their
conflict with us in the long-term sense. We can reasonably
expect both these powers individually or jointly to use
tactical nuclear weapons against us in the future. We will
still be warned by the two super powers that we should not
embark on escalation which would result in a major
conflagration in the world and therefore be self-defeating.
Thus our friendly relationship with the two Super powers in
the Bipolar non-alignment model is really seen for what it
is, a formalised arrangement for appeasement. Our geography
and size and the unfortunate fact that Pakistan can offer
itself as a Cuban-type adjunct to China makes our dependence
upon the soviet Union as far as the threat from Pakistan is
concerned of very doubtful military value to the soviet
Union. The practical questions for USA is rapidly
developing a nuclear power alliance with the United Kingdom
in the Indian Ocean area because the ambiguous position of
our Commonwealth link enables the adoption of strategic
concepts designed to safeguard its nuclear conditioned
global position, while diminishing the bargaining factors on
the Indian side. But it is open to India not to accept this
role. The USA and the Soviet Union and other countries have
their major worries for which they desperately need
political and conventional military support, the former more
than the latter. India has an unusual opportunity to trade
its support in return for backing which will immediately
enhance our military and diplomatic strength. This
opportunity arises from the shift in power distribution
which is taking place in the change from a bipolar to a
multipolar world. But to utilise this opportunity would
require first of all the realisation that the two
international policemen USA and USSR cannot protect us
against the “salami” tactics of China and Pakistan. For
this we require to have independent resources for defence
and military retaliation against our enemies accompanied by
all-round trading of our support with other middle and small
countries to give moral sanction to whatever
counter-measures we may be forced to undertake.
Non-alignment cannot fulfil this requirement as we
discovered to our discomfiture when China attacked India and
the non-aligned countries did not come out to support our
counter-measures. In the case of Pakistan’s attack on Kutch
the lesson was even more strongly driven home.
Peace has seldom been realised by making endless
concessions. The philosophy of non-alignment finds very
little support in recent developments in the theory of
Peace-research. The Indian attitude with respect to
disarmament and disengagement in various parts of the globe,
has been unduly limited by the dogma of non-alignment. The
question of war and peace is not a simple function of the
quantity and quality of armaments as Indian policy makers
seem to believe. The sensible understanding of the true
position about power relations between different states
requires an appreciation of the military aspects of
strategies in the light of public opinion, leadership traits
and above all an enumeration of all the options that are
available for competition between states with conflicting
interests. No doubt the military may have to be used in the
last resort and a peaceful country like India should not
lightly talk of war, but it is impossible to take any
appropriate diplomatic measures if there is all the time a
hysterical attitude to the possible use of military force.
Escalation is a term much bandied about but it is obvious
that escalation is not inevitable, if we make clear that we
have the possibility of taking forceful but limited
actions. The Prime Minister by his frequent expression of
fear that conflict may escalate gives Pakistan and China
opportunities to blackmail India. Because of non-alignment
we have lacked political ability to discriminate between the
limited and unlimited objectives of our enemies. Both Nehru
and Shastri thought first that the enemy – China and
Pakistan respectively – could be thrown out in a few days,
and subsequently were willing to accept proposals – the
Colombo and Freeman proposals respectively – which have
adverse strategic implications for India but which were
regarded as reducing the probability of total war. It would
appear, therefore, that when India seeks to be tough it does
not produce a feeling of respect, and when it seeks a
détente the other side feels emboldened to put our very
survival in jeopardy. Thus the military-political pattern
in our decision making is gravely distorted by non-alignment
and it is a matter of great urgency that the decision making
should be forged on a new basis.
Everything points to the possibility of far reaching changes
in the United Nations system. Is India prepared for change
or do we intend to hold on to the status quo? With China
inside the United Nations at a future date, Indian
non-alignment is likely to find itself in rough whether
without either a proper vessel or a hospitable harbour.
Non-alignment may have the result that China will make us
the prime target of all forces which oppose the status quo.
We shall not even have the choice utilised by countries like
France and Indonesia to walk out of the UN for unqualified
support to the UN is a basic tenet of the policy of
non-alignment. To all those who want India to have an
effective voice on important political issues which come
before the UN and not to be made a scapegoat by any hostile
combination of forces, it is clear that there are very
important considerations for giving up non-alignment, at
least as far as United Nations diplomacy is concerned. If
we do not, it really means that the days of our active
participation in the United Nations are now over.
We shall now attempt to answer the question whether the four
dilemmas mentioned at the beginning can be resolved.
The trend towards multipolarity is a phenomenon which can be
used creatively to place restraints on all those powers
which are openly hostile to us or which harbour potential
hostility towards us. The international conflicts pattern
in the multipolar era in which we find ourselves is very
different from that we have known in the post-war bipolar
period. As we have shown for India, now non-alignment is an
unmitigated evil if we have any desire to maintain our
territorial integrity and enhance our influence in the
world. Non-alignment may not work much havoc for certain
smaller countries but India is significant enough and
strategically important enough to easily become the target
of several forces which are morbidly chauvinistic. We have
identified Pakistan and China, but there are other nation
states whose public mind or whose ruling elites may want to
prove their power ambitions by hitting out at us, if it
comes to be accepted that Indian non-alignment reflects the
tolerance of Indians for most forms of belligerence carried
out in a piecemeal manner.
If we want to commit ourselves firmly to a policy of
safeguarding our territorial integrity while the world
settles down to some sort of international order appropriate
to a multipolar condition then it is clear that our national
resources must be utilised in a manner which will bring
national interest from the periphery to the very centre of
our policy making. It will not be enough to jettison
non-alignment. It must be followed by the clear enunciation
of a policy of non-appeasement. This will not be a mere
reversal of the earlier policy. It will be a policy
pre-eminently suited for safeguarding India’s territorial
integrity in a multipolar world. It will enable us to
accept the moral challenge from Chinese communism.
Non-appeasement will reduce the chances that the struggle
for power between other great powers will work to our
disadvantage. The fundamental principles which will guide a
policy of non-appeasement will be: first: to correlate the
interests of important countries as understood by their
ruling elites with their ideological, military,
psychological and political limitations. Second, to adapt
Indian diplomacy to regard effective military capabilities
as more important than claims of national power based on
inadequate strategic concepts, inherited from the past.
Whether or not India should reject the Commonwealth and the
Afro-Asian groupings in which it has very limited strategic
benefits, must be debated in the light of the overall trend
towards multipolarity. Non-appeasement will reduce Indian
vulnerability by providing policy makes with a larger number
of options in strategy. This does not mean that the only
way to offset the nuclear threat from China or from the
nuclearlization of more countries is to develop an Indian
nuclear capacity. At the same time it is clear that the
absurd situation under non-alignment where it is frequently
suggested by the Prime Minister that the threat of nuclear
attack is largely imaginary, would be avoided. India would
set to work on the problem of how to ensure its survival in
a nuclear world by utilising both non-nuclear and nuclear
options. Third; Non-appeasement would adopt flexibility as
an operating norm short of any adverse effects on
territorial integrity. This would enable India to
contribute actively by plans and suggestions, to conflict
resolution among the great powers as well as among the
lesser powers.
We can illustrate the advantages of non-appeasement
graphically as follows:
National interest is measured along the Y axis. It is
defined for the present purposes as meaning the maintenance
of national territorial integrity by both military and
non-military methods. Genuine friendship may of course
fully preserve our national interest, but in that case our
national interest will be at the mercy of others. The
curves are drawn from hypothetical data which reflect our
general understanding of the sort of equations which must be
in the minds of policy makes in the State Deptt. (USA),
Kremlin (USSR) and South Block (New Delhi).
The Indian Foreign Policy curve is read in the following
manner: If we can get X units of your friendship we shall
be content with Y units of national interest (national
security not at your mercy).
The Non-alignment curve is downward sloping because Indian
non-alignment requires that friendship should be sought at
all costs. To secure more units of friendship they shall
offer greater respect for our national interest.
The movement from Bipolarity to Multipolarity results in the
rightward shift of the curves of countries like USA and
USSR. They are no longer unchallenged bloc leaders and they
have to court other countries for friendship.
The friendship offer curve of the Soviet Union is more
steeply sloping than the USA curve on account of the
political factor of “international communism”. Increase of
friendship after a point will only be offered if the country
concerned accepts communist control over its political
decision-making by giving a dominant share in government to
communists, and under such circumstances “satellitisation”
occurs (below the X axis) which negates the national
interest as ordinarily understood. The USA, too, may aim at
greater economic control after a point, but here we are
concerned with national interest understood in a strictly
political sense.
The Russian leader Vladimir Ilyich Ulyanov or Lenin, as he
liked to be called, gave sound advice to one of his comrades
during the early days of the Russian Revolution:
“Theory, my friend is, grey, but green is the eternal tree
of life.”
Had the Russian leader been alive today, he might have given
the same advice to the Indian prime Minister. The theory of
Non-alignment which Lal Bahadur shastri and Swaran singh
have inherited from Jawahar Lal Nehru is not even grey, it
has turned into a colour which recalls something which has
decayed and decomposed past recognition of any form.
When mere adjustments and expedients do not help, it is the
task of statesmanship to discover a new connection of ideas
which will inspire and direct national action.
If obscurantism does not stand in the way this discovery may
be found in NON-APPEASEMENT. |